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Sep 28, 2012
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all those same polls that show president obama leading and claims to correct the bias, turning romney deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind it is simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look a lot like 2008 and this they say is wrong. notice i said this time. back in 2004, democrats complained that the polls which showed george w. bush leading were overestimating the number of republicans who would vote. they were wrong. the polls were right. now, in 2000 al gore said don't believe the polls. polls showed him losing narrowly. polls were right. in fact, it's hard to find an example of the polls on average getting it wrong unless you go back to 1948, when they predicted thomas dewey defeated president harry truman. cnn political contributor ari fleischer joins us. he's an occasional unpaid com
all those same polls that show president obama leading and claims to correct the bias, turning romney deficits into commanding romney leads. the idea behind it is simple. all polls base the outcome on what pollsters believe the electorate will look like, how many democrats versus how many republicans they think will actually turn out. getting that partisan makeup wrong can tilt the predictions. the people that don't believe the polls say this time, pollsters think the 2012 electorate will look...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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higher deficits can do more damage. you know, the fact is, right now, i would recommend president obama use it in the debate. it is one of the reasons why we have the deficits. that is what they are doing. and so there is not corporate revenue being taxable revenue. the president's plan has been a little bit of moving pieces. they cut the rate to 28%. the president's position is that we should start from the position. we have the lowest corporate revenue to gdp that you could imagine with the highest rate. it is a five alarm fire at the way to address that is to increase taxes. >> i wanted to have a follow-up. i heard the interview last night, playing upper income and middle and come. -- income. they would not see their taxes changed overall. he talked about loopholes but did not go into specifics. help us understand what the dividing line is between middle income and upper income in his mind. >> i am not a psychic, it is not a conversation i have had. it is definitely where you draw the line between upper and middle in
higher deficits can do more damage. you know, the fact is, right now, i would recommend president obama use it in the debate. it is one of the reasons why we have the deficits. that is what they are doing. and so there is not corporate revenue being taxable revenue. the president's plan has been a little bit of moving pieces. they cut the rate to 28%. the president's position is that we should start from the position. we have the lowest corporate revenue to gdp that you could imagine with the...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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also president obama has been hammering away at romney's tax plan arguing it will add to the deficit. romney has called for cutting all tax rates by 20%. he also wants to eliminate taxes on capital gains and dividends for families who make less than $200,000. there was an independent analysis done by the nonpartisan tax policy center and it did find that romney's plan would drop tax revenues by $5 trillion. but romney has promised he won't add to the deficit because he'll pay for any tax cuts by limiting deductions for taxpayers especially the wealthy. so this isn't really a major break from what he said before. he's just kind of shifting the emphasis, playing up a different part of his plan. >> so deductions. what deductions would mr. romney limit? >> now, that is the $5 trillion question. we tonigdon't know. he has hinted he may scale back the mortgage deduction for wealthy homeowners. think about how many tax deductions are out there. charitable giving, he state and local taxes. it won't be politically easy to scrap any of them because they're popular. so that's why budget cruncher
also president obama has been hammering away at romney's tax plan arguing it will add to the deficit. romney has called for cutting all tax rates by 20%. he also wants to eliminate taxes on capital gains and dividends for families who make less than $200,000. there was an independent analysis done by the nonpartisan tax policy center and it did find that romney's plan would drop tax revenues by $5 trillion. but romney has promised he won't add to the deficit because he'll pay for any tax cuts...
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Sep 27, 2012
09/12
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candidates promise they will not increase taxes on the poor and middle class but will make a dent in the deficit. this evening we look at romney's plan which has been called mathematically by one group and the president and his campaign have been all over it. chief national correspondent jim angle gets out his calculator tonight. >> mitt romney's budget plan will hurt the middle class. raising taxes on the average family by up to $2,000. getting a tax break, $250,000 to multimillionaires. >> one might think from this obama ad governor romney is specifically proposing to raise middle class taxes by $2,000. but that's not true. in fact, he penaled just the opposite prompting one romney advisor to blast the notion. >> that is the biggest political lie i have ever seen in my academic career. it's not romney's plan to do that. there is nothing to suggest he would do that. pure fiction. >> $1.2 trillion in tax deductions are claimed every year. everything from home mortgage interest to hundreds of millions and more arcane deductions. romney pledged to lower taxes by 20% for everyone. keep it revenue n
candidates promise they will not increase taxes on the poor and middle class but will make a dent in the deficit. this evening we look at romney's plan which has been called mathematically by one group and the president and his campaign have been all over it. chief national correspondent jim angle gets out his calculator tonight. >> mitt romney's budget plan will hurt the middle class. raising taxes on the average family by up to $2,000. getting a tax break, $250,000 to multimillionaires....
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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the reason was if he made them a permit, you would bust the deficit. it is time to let those tax cuts expire for those making more than $500,000. if they go back to where they were, we were in belt largest expansion in the history of the united states. fix medicare. allow negotiations for prescription drugs. that will save $240 billion over 10 years, and finally, takeaway subsidies from the big oil companies. they are very profitable, but they do not need our help. what you end up with then is not a $1 trillion problem. you end up with a problem in the $200 billion range. raising the ceiling, a default for the nation. he spoke out against the fairfax chamber and other chambers, and now he is saying, "wait a minute. we cannot make cuts." when he is running as the guy who wants to make cuts. he has more sides then a rubik cube. >> what your so-called plan would do to jobs. i think you should be taking into account what the impact is on jobs, and our economy, which is a major, major concern. you talked about bob mcdonnell and eric cantor. what they did wa
the reason was if he made them a permit, you would bust the deficit. it is time to let those tax cuts expire for those making more than $500,000. if they go back to where they were, we were in belt largest expansion in the history of the united states. fix medicare. allow negotiations for prescription drugs. that will save $240 billion over 10 years, and finally, takeaway subsidies from the big oil companies. they are very profitable, but they do not need our help. what you end up with then is...
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Sep 25, 2012
09/12
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if we want to look at the deficit, everybody knows the problem with the deficit. who do we think is more likely to deal with the deficit? someone who has run it up over a trillion dollars every year he has been in office? is that too is going to do it to? or do we think governor romney, a businessman who is committed to fiscal responsibility is going to do it? who is going to do it to? if the barack obama is in the white house four years from now, he will have appointed one half of all federal judges and he will have changed the complexion of the added states supreme court for decades. can we stand that in this country? is that what we want to? no. foreign affairs. the president of the united states went to new york today, yesterday. other presidents have gone to meet with world leaders to sit down with the israelis and other allies, people who he needs to understand. and interesting article this morning about his failure to do that. he went to new york not to meet with world leaders, he is on "the view." [booing] what a sense of priorities. he said after our amba
if we want to look at the deficit, everybody knows the problem with the deficit. who do we think is more likely to deal with the deficit? someone who has run it up over a trillion dollars every year he has been in office? is that too is going to do it to? or do we think governor romney, a businessman who is committed to fiscal responsibility is going to do it? who is going to do it to? if the barack obama is in the white house four years from now, he will have appointed one half of all federal...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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vice president joe biden campaigning in swing state florida blaming the deficit on the previous administration. the republican vice presidential candidate paul ryan in ohio tonight. we showed you you live on fox report ryan a hunting enthusiast telling voters he and governor romney would work to prevent any more restrictions on hunting and gun ownership among other things and also talked a lot about the economy. capitol hill put a hold on nearly a half billion dollars in aid for egypt. it follows recent antiamerican turmoil across the middle east including storming our embassy in cairo on september 11th. the obama administration promised egypt emergency money but the head of the subcommittee which oversees foreign aid said she is convinced egypt does not neat it now. i'm harris faulkner. now, back to "justice." >>> there is only one way to peacefully prevent iran from getting atomic bombs. and that is by placing a clear red line on iran's nuclear weapons program. >> judge jeanine: prime minister netanyahu this week with a stern warning to prevent iran from getting a nuclear bomb. the white hou
vice president joe biden campaigning in swing state florida blaming the deficit on the previous administration. the republican vice presidential candidate paul ryan in ohio tonight. we showed you you live on fox report ryan a hunting enthusiast telling voters he and governor romney would work to prevent any more restrictions on hunting and gun ownership among other things and also talked a lot about the economy. capitol hill put a hold on nearly a half billion dollars in aid for egypt. it...
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Sep 25, 2012
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but we added $5 trillion in new debt to the deficit. for every dollar we spent $3.5 or $4. of debt. the average spending is $7.5. we are borrowing $4. for every buck we spend. the solution, perfect -- for every dollar we are spending $7.5 bucks. >> bob: $5.5 is on taxes democrat is bad math. >> dana: today, david axelrod said president obama doesn't need a plan for that. >> bob: it's a mistake to say that, to say you don't have a plan. >> dana: there are four mistakes in the "a" block from the obama campaign just now. we can say why do they do it that way? >> bob: oh, this one. sorry. >> kimberly: the interview, we don't have time to show the thought of it. but the biggest disappointment depends on the audience. if it's univision, it's immigration. if it's "60 minutes" it's i can't change the tone in washington. but this just in. first picture of president obama and mrs. obama in the taping of "the view" today. you got to love that. >> bob: nice picture. >> kimberly: coming up. did they have ambassador stevens on the hit list before he was killed in libya? the ambassador thought so.
but we added $5 trillion in new debt to the deficit. for every dollar we spent $3.5 or $4. of debt. the average spending is $7.5. we are borrowing $4. for every buck we spend. the solution, perfect -- for every dollar we are spending $7.5 bucks. >> bob: $5.5 is on taxes democrat is bad math. >> dana: today, david axelrod said president obama doesn't need a plan for that. >> bob: it's a mistake to say that, to say you don't have a plan. >> dana: there are four mistakes in...
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Sep 26, 2012
09/12
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romney is a let -- a little less focus on the deficit. he spends most of his time talking about jobs and on health care and taxes. whereas democrats have much wider spread of issues that they are discussing. so i will leave it there for n now. [applause] >> thanks, erika. okay, so shadow money, this is a subset of the outside money we're seeing coming into the elections. and we are seeing much more of it this time around. these are the 501(c), especially 501(c)(4) groups that are increasingly active in politics and increase in acted on the airwaves. first a word about, the center for responsive politics, what we do if you're not familiar with this is the slice and dice campaign finance and lobbying information in ways that hopefully make it more accessible and usable, and easier to interpret for both journalists and the public. we've been trying to get at this dark money, shadow money this year. you know, the danger for journalists, for us, for the public is, you know, it's very, very difficult to get at it, to get its donors and exactly
romney is a let -- a little less focus on the deficit. he spends most of his time talking about jobs and on health care and taxes. whereas democrats have much wider spread of issues that they are discussing. so i will leave it there for n now. [applause] >> thanks, erika. okay, so shadow money, this is a subset of the outside money we're seeing coming into the elections. and we are seeing much more of it this time around. these are the 501(c), especially 501(c)(4) groups that are...
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Sep 28, 2012
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going on the deficit. >> yes 10 trillion . i don't know how we are going to pay for this . inheritance and his successor is going it inherit a problem. >> gretchen: this is before obama care? >> thos a great point. we had massive stimulus and everything and category of spending going up yet, the big bills of obama care comes later and hasn't showed up yet. and even the democrats who run the congressional budget office said that will cost 1.7 tril yen if a decade. >> gretchen: coming up next. tragedy trikes in hollywood. katie perry exboyfriend now dead after murdering his land lady and dying misterously. >> writing a letter and you will not believe what got him in return. ♪ note ♪ i have retired from doing this one thing that i loved. now, i'm going to be able to have the time to explore something different. it's like another chapter. boproductivity up, costs down, thtime to market reduced... those are good things. upstairs, they will see fantasy. not fantasy... logistics. ups came in, analyzed our supply chain, inventory
going on the deficit. >> yes 10 trillion . i don't know how we are going to pay for this . inheritance and his successor is going it inherit a problem. >> gretchen: this is before obama care? >> thos a great point. we had massive stimulus and everything and category of spending going up yet, the big bills of obama care comes later and hasn't showed up yet. and even the democrats who run the congressional budget office said that will cost 1.7 tril yen if a decade. >>...
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Sep 30, 2012
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the fed is actually reducing the deficit and making huge profits returning record amounts of money to the treasury as a result of previous quantitative easing, so it's the opposite of spending your tax dollars. the fed a legally independent and ran by a guy originally appointed by george w. bush. this is just so completely over the top that we decided to do a piece on that particular email. pretty much, these messages to true believers have to exceed what we have already the bonds before we pay attention to them. we are out of time. thank you all for your attention. thank you for your questions. [applause] [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable satellite corp. 2012] >> monday, a citizen's guide to the 2012 presidential debate from the national communications association panel looking at the hours of the debates coming up next month. live coverage begins at 1:00 p.m. eastern on c-span. >> you established a third party. you ran twice. you established -- what was the name of it? united we stand? the reform party. do you feel that is nee
the fed is actually reducing the deficit and making huge profits returning record amounts of money to the treasury as a result of previous quantitative easing, so it's the opposite of spending your tax dollars. the fed a legally independent and ran by a guy originally appointed by george w. bush. this is just so completely over the top that we decided to do a piece on that particular email. pretty much, these messages to true believers have to exceed what we have already the bonds before we pay...
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Sep 28, 2012
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they have a budge big deficit wh women, and they're trying to close it. >> greta: rick? >> no subtly in terms of the campaign messaging. i go one step further, i think that was midwestern accents i heard. >> greta: either from illinois or wisconsin. >> we really like you if you live in wisconsin or ohio or illinois. they need to be doing better among women. republicans almost always lose women in republican conventions. can't lose it as badly as they are right now to barack obama. >> when you look at the money spent on this ad, they're spending $10 million on this push, and much of it is going to those exact midwestern states, wisconsin, ohio and iowa, the states that romney needs to kind of gain ground on. >> wisconsin really opens up possibilities. without wisconsin, it's looking very hard, particularly the way things are looking in ohio, so many other swing states. if he can get florida or wisconsin, he has a path. >> greta: those were nice ads. no one is said to be a rot and horrible person, a thief or crook. it was a nice ad. >> that's the point. the country hasn't
they have a budge big deficit wh women, and they're trying to close it. >> greta: rick? >> no subtly in terms of the campaign messaging. i go one step further, i think that was midwestern accents i heard. >> greta: either from illinois or wisconsin. >> we really like you if you live in wisconsin or ohio or illinois. they need to be doing better among women. republicans almost always lose women in republican conventions. can't lose it as badly as they are right now to...
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Oct 1, 2012
10/12
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mitt romney doesn't have a deficit plan. he has a plan to cut taxes for millionaires and billionaires. one thing that will be interesting wednesday if he'll finally explain how his math adds up. he has a $5 trillion tax cut, on top of a $5 trillion to extend the bush cuts, and another $2 trillion in defense spending that our leaders say they don't need. $8 trillion. he says he's not going to add to the deficit. if he's not going to add to the deficit, the middle class better watch out because they'll pay the burden if he is elected because the hole is just too big. and it will be interesting on wednesday. if he says he's not going to burden the middle class, then he's going to blow a hole in the deficit. >> will we see president obama here on "meet the press" before election day? >> well, there's 37 days left, so we'll stay in contact about it. >> all right. we hope to see him here. mr. plouffe, thank you. >> thank you, david. >>> coming up, what are the stakes for both campaigns? the roundtable will get into it. founder of
mitt romney doesn't have a deficit plan. he has a plan to cut taxes for millionaires and billionaires. one thing that will be interesting wednesday if he'll finally explain how his math adds up. he has a $5 trillion tax cut, on top of a $5 trillion to extend the bush cuts, and another $2 trillion in defense spending that our leaders say they don't need. $8 trillion. he says he's not going to add to the deficit. if he's not going to add to the deficit, the middle class better watch out because...
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Oct 2, 2012
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the obama budget has been scored by the cbo and has a 2.4% deficit-reduction in the next 10 years. you can argue over what you think that is enough in not to stabilize the debt to gdp ratio but conversely, i'm not actually sure i would want to see ronnie detail all of the tax expenditure changes he says he will come up with. the problem, of course, is betting campaign, if people -- is tt in campaigns, if people start putting out more detailed proposals, demobilize the opposition. this is kind of like the 1993 securities commission. the two parties can hold hands and they do not start out being a brahney proposal or an obama proposal or a republican proposal or a democrat proposal. i am interested in what is in the debates in the next four weeks -- i am less interested in what is in the debates in the next four weeks and then what the vendor does in the weeks after the election. >> why would you like to hear -- what would you like to hear obama say in the weeks after the election? >> we are not going to have a deal that does not have revenues and spending. the biggest obstacle is on
the obama budget has been scored by the cbo and has a 2.4% deficit-reduction in the next 10 years. you can argue over what you think that is enough in not to stabilize the debt to gdp ratio but conversely, i'm not actually sure i would want to see ronnie detail all of the tax expenditure changes he says he will come up with. the problem, of course, is betting campaign, if people -- is tt in campaigns, if people start putting out more detailed proposals, demobilize the opposition. this is kind...
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Oct 3, 2012
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mitt romney, doesn't have a deficit reduction plan. he wants to spend $2 trillion more in defense, $5 trillion more in a tax cut won't tell us how you pay for, before you even start talking about deficit reduction. it's a joke to think mitt romney will actually take action to redaus the deficit. >> taxes, this week he did come out with this proposal of eliminating $17,000 in deductions. >> right. >> your response to that? >> well, you know, he left out a number of different details of that proposal but i would also say that limiting deductions to $17,000 for middle-class families still results in a tax increase. even in just the health premium deduction, for families last year, were about $15,000. there you go. what happens to the mortgage deduction, charitable deduction, child deduction. he's raising taxes on middle class families. >> if this comes up and mitt romney starts to do that math that paul ryan wouldn't do, i'm sure this will be a topic of discussion. >> how worried are you about the jobs report on friday? >> we face this ev
mitt romney, doesn't have a deficit reduction plan. he wants to spend $2 trillion more in defense, $5 trillion more in a tax cut won't tell us how you pay for, before you even start talking about deficit reduction. it's a joke to think mitt romney will actually take action to redaus the deficit. >> taxes, this week he did come out with this proposal of eliminating $17,000 in deductions. >> right. >> your response to that? >> well, you know, he left out a number of...
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Sep 30, 2012
09/12
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mitt romney doesn't have a deficit plan. he's got a plan to cut taxes for millionaires and billionaires. one of the things that will be interesting wednesday, if he'll finally explain hows had math adds up. he's got a $5 trillion tax cut and nour $2 trillion in defense spending that our defense leaders say they don't need if he's not going to add to the deficit, the middle class better watch out because they're going to pay the burden if he's elected president, because the whole is just too big. so if he says he's not going to burden the middle class, then he's going to blow a hole in the deficit. >> will we see president obama on "meet the press" before election day? >> there's 37 days left. so we'll stay in contact about it. >>> coming up, we talk more about the first debate. what are the stakes for both campaigns. the round table will get into it founder of the faith and freedom coalition, ralph reed, former democratic pennsylvania governor, ed rendell. the bbc's catty kay and nbc's chuck todd. here's what happened... i w
mitt romney doesn't have a deficit plan. he's got a plan to cut taxes for millionaires and billionaires. one of the things that will be interesting wednesday, if he'll finally explain hows had math adds up. he's got a $5 trillion tax cut and nour $2 trillion in defense spending that our defense leaders say they don't need if he's not going to add to the deficit, the middle class better watch out because they're going to pay the burden if he's elected president, because the whole is just too...
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Oct 1, 2012
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he's increased the deficit a trillion dollars a year. so let's start with the failures of this administration. mitt romney has said look, we've got to cut spending, we're broke, we've overpromised, we've overspent -- >> but sir -- >> and -- >> governor, where would he cut the spending. >> let's trust him on that. >> you cut a lot of domestic -- we've already got a plan to cut a trillion -- $1.2 trillion. half of it is balanced on defense spending in a time of war. that's a mistake. and so i think we need to cut trillions of dollars in order to get our budget balanced. and you could start with cutting two or three or 4% almost across the board some of the things that other governors have done, by i think you target it in those areas where the spending has not produced tangible results in the quality of life for the people. i can just tell you, andrea, i did it in virginia, governors like christie and scott and kasic and walker have done it in all of their states, mitt romney did it when he was governor of massachusetts, $3.5 billion defic
he's increased the deficit a trillion dollars a year. so let's start with the failures of this administration. mitt romney has said look, we've got to cut spending, we're broke, we've overpromised, we've overspent -- >> but sir -- >> and -- >> governor, where would he cut the spending. >> let's trust him on that. >> you cut a lot of domestic -- we've already got a plan to cut a trillion -- $1.2 trillion. half of it is balanced on defense spending in a time of war....
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Oct 3, 2012
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can you tell us otherwise you will end up with $40 trillion deficit, which tax loopholes will you close? >> kimberly: playing the role of mitt romney, eric bolling. >> eric: when you lower taxes and let people keep more of their money you bring growth back. >> bob: we have seen that work. >> kimberly: he won the debate. that easy. andrea what is your question? >> andrea: bill clinton spoke at the convention and he seemed to help barack obama. i am going to bring up bill clinton. president obama, when bill clinton left office he balanced the budget, cut social programs the unemployment number was low. urn your watch, the opposite happened. we have seen the budget been busted. so how are you like bill clinton? that is a tough question for him to answer. if it's me, i ask him, listen, i release my taxes. you have yet to release academic records, the white house records, see what he says. that would be tougher to answer. >> bob: for eight years we were all in a coma. curious. >> kimberly: bob is out of order. we're bring you back in "e" block. >> bob: clinton to obama. >> kimberly: guess wh
can you tell us otherwise you will end up with $40 trillion deficit, which tax loopholes will you close? >> kimberly: playing the role of mitt romney, eric bolling. >> eric: when you lower taxes and let people keep more of their money you bring growth back. >> bob: we have seen that work. >> kimberly: he won the debate. that easy. andrea what is your question? >> andrea: bill clinton spoke at the convention and he seemed to help barack obama. i am going to bring up...
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Oct 2, 2012
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issues like cutting taxes without ballooning the deficit or burdening the middle class. the romney campaign has been asked again and again for specifics. here's running mate paul ryan just yesterday on fox news. >> there's been a traditional democrat and republican consensus lowering tax rates by broadening the tax base works. and you can -- >> i have to -- you haven't given me the math. >> well, i don't have -- it would take me too long to go through all of the math. >> chris wallace kept trying but came away empty-handed. he's not the only one. take a look. >> which of the deductions are you going to be willing to eliminate? which of the tax credits are you going to -- when are you going to be able to tell us that? >> we'll go through that process with congress. >> give me an example of a loophole that you will close. >> i can tell you that people at the high end, high income taxpayers, are going to have fewer deductions and exemptions. >> mitt romney and i based on our experience think the best way to do this is to show the framework, show the outlines of these plans
issues like cutting taxes without ballooning the deficit or burdening the middle class. the romney campaign has been asked again and again for specifics. here's running mate paul ryan just yesterday on fox news. >> there's been a traditional democrat and republican consensus lowering tax rates by broadening the tax base works. and you can -- >> i have to -- you haven't given me the math. >> well, i don't have -- it would take me too long to go through all of the math. >>...
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Oct 3, 2012
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we are going to explore the progress over the 112th congress and identify deficits. we are going to do my portion very quickly because what is interesting -- let me start by introducing them. on my right is hugh halpern leaders the staff director of the house of representatives committee on rules. on the committee he search as the chief adviser on committee and leadership patterns. immediately to my left is jim harper, director of information policy studies at the cato institute and founder of washington watchdog which keeps a close eye on legislation in federal funding. jim is the washington watchdog -- watch.com several times in the course of this presentation. last but not least is john wonderlich who is the policy director at the sunlight foundation and all-around transparency gadfly. that is his official title. more information about today's panelist on your chairs and transparencycaucus.org. i would like to thank the cochairs of the congressional transparency caucus for getting us this space and opportunity to have a conversation with you today. i promised i wo
we are going to explore the progress over the 112th congress and identify deficits. we are going to do my portion very quickly because what is interesting -- let me start by introducing them. on my right is hugh halpern leaders the staff director of the house of representatives committee on rules. on the committee he search as the chief adviser on committee and leadership patterns. immediately to my left is jim harper, director of information policy studies at the cato institute and founder of...